CSA vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
71%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CRB
2 - 1
CSA
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
COR
0 - 1
CSA
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SSS
1 - 3
CSA
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
CSA
3 - 0
ABC
27%
26%
48%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CSA
2 - 0
MUR
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SDJ
0 - 1
SPO
7%
16%
76%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 0
SPO
11%
20%
69%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
3 - 0
CEN
84%
13%
3%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAM
78%
16%
6%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
FFL
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |