CSA vs Sete de Setembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRB
17%
21%
61%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 1
CSA
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
CSA
1 - 0
CEO
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CSA
1 - 2
ITA
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
CSA
1 - 4
SPO
10%
19%
71%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Sete de Setembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
CSE
1 - 2
SSS
66%
21%
14%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SSS
1 - 1
SAN
16%
21%
62%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MIG
0 - 1
SSS
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 5 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SSS
0 - 2
ASA
10%
18%
73%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SSS
1 - 3
CSA
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |