CSA vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
CSA
60%
23%
18%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SDJ
1 - 0
CSA
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
CSA
0 - 2
SER
62%
21%
16%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
CSA
0 - 1
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 0
CSA
44%
28%
29%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SDJ
0 - 0
VIT
49%
25%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SDJ
1 - 0
CSA
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 0
SDJ
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SER
6 - 1
SDJ
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
SDJ
1 - 1
BOT
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |