CSA vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
CSA
76%
17%
7%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
CSA
50%
27%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CSA
4 - 1
BAH
16%
24%
60%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CSA
2 - 2
VIT
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
CSA
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
CSA
76%
17%
7%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 1
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
VIT
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAM
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 0
SAN
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |