CSA vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
CEA
1 - 0
CSA
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CSA
0 - 0
ASA
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
COR
1 - 1
CSA
8%
19%
73%
|
74 | 38 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CRB
2 - 3
CSA
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CSA
2 - 1
CON
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 2
ARN
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOT
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
3 - 1
PMA
76%
16%
9%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TEC
1 - 2
SAM
9%
16%
75%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
BAH
4 - 0
SAM
76%
17%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |