CSA vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
LON
0 - 0
CSA
37%
30%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
CSA
32%
30%
37%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
GRE
22%
27%
50%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
CSA
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 1
CSA
30%
30%
41%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
PPE
0 - 0
TOM
50%
28%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
PPE
40%
30%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
PPE
0 - 0
SAM
47%
27%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 0
PPE
60%
25%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 2
LON
47%
28%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |