CSA vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
CSA
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
CSA
17%
26%
57%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CSA
2 - 0
REM
53%
25%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
MOT
1 - 1
CSA
31%
30%
40%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
CSA
2 - 1
BOT
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
CSA
17%
26%
57%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
PAR
60%
23%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 3
GLO
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
PAR
52%
24%
23%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
AME
60%
22%
17%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |