Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 5-1
CSA vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
CSA
32%
28%
40%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CSA
1 - 1
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 3
CSA
25%
28%
47%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 0
CSA
27%
28%
45%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 1
CEN
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
CSA
32%
28%
40%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CSA
1 - 1
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 1
CEN
50%
26%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
5 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
PAR
39%
26%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |