CSA vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
38.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
COM
1 - 0
CSA
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
VIT
0 - 0
CSA
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
CSA
1 - 1
BOT
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
CSA
2 - 1
ALE
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
SAN
2 - 0
CSA
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
PAL
3 - 0
ALE
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1986 |
PAL
2 - 0
BOT
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
POR
0 - 0
PAL
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
NAC
2 - 1
PAL
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
PAL
4 - 2
COM
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |