CSA vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
CSA
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
CSA
1 - 1
SAM
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CSA
0 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 2
CSA
59%
25%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CSA
0 - 1
SAO
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 2
COR
52%
25%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
ARN
25%
26%
49%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
JEC
3 - 0
MUR
50%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SER
2 - 1
MUR
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MUR
3 - 0
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |