CSA vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSA
48%
27%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 1
CSE
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
ASA
0 - 0
CSA
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 1
CSA
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
CSA
0 - 0
ASA
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 1
COR
39%
27%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
CUI
2 - 0
MUR
63%
23%
14%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 0
MUR
70%
18%
11%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 2
CUI
25%
27%
48%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 2
ASA
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |