CSA vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
COR
0 - 1
CSA
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
CSA
4 - 0
COR
50%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
CSA
1 - 1
IPA
80%
13%
6%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
ASA
2 - 0
CSA
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CSE
1 - 0
CSA
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
MUR
4 - 1
IPA
71%
18%
12%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
ASA
1 - 2
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 0
CSE
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 4
MUR
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
MUR
2 - 2
COR
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |