CSA vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
CSA
1 - 4
SPO
10%
19%
71%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CRB
2 - 1
CSA
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
COR
0 - 1
CSA
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SSS
1 - 3
CSA
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
CSA
3 - 0
ABC
27%
26%
48%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
SER
38%
27%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ABC
3 - 0
ITA
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 4
ITA
25%
26%
50%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CON
0 - 0
ITA
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
CRB
10%
19%
71%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | +1 |