CSA vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
CSA
27%
28%
44%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CSA
0 - 1
CRB
31%
26%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CRB
2 - 0
CSA
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 1
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 2
CSA
28%
29%
43%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
CEN
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
UNI
49%
27%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
GUA
80%
15%
5%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
FOR
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |