CSA vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
REM
1 - 1
CSA
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CSA
2 - 1
MOT
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 0
CSA
58%
25%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 2
CSA
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CSA
3 - 0
ASA
32%
28%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
CON
2 - 2
SAM
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
REM
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
MOT
4 - 0
CON
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CUI
1 - 2
CON
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
SAL
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |