CSA vs Comercial de Vicosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
CSA
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
CSA
2 - 2
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CDV
0 - 2
CSA
21%
26%
52%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
CSA
0 - 1
SAO
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CSA
7 - 1
CSE
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial de Vicosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CDV
2 - 1
PEN
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 1
CDV
57%
23%
20%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CDV
0 - 2
CSA
21%
26%
52%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
CDV
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CDV
1 - 3
COR
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |