Alagoano Inicial Copa Alagoas Semi-finals
Global 2-1
CSA vs Olhodagüense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CEO
1 - 0
CSA
41%
28%
32%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
IPA
2 - 0
CSA
26%
29%
45%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 1
ASA
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 1
CEO
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
CSE
0 - 1
CSA
50%
26%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Olhodagüense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CEO
1 - 0
CSA
41%
28%
32%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 1
CEO
76%
16%
9%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
CEO
2 - 2
MUR
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
CSE
1 - 3
CEO
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 1
CEO
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |