CSA vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CSA
6 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
CSA
27%
28%
44%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CSA
0 - 1
CRB
31%
26%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CRB
2 - 0
CSA
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 1
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 0
PAR
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
CEN
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 1
AME
50%
27%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 0
CEN
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 0
SAL
18%
26%
57%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |