CSA vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
34.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LON
0 - 2
CSA
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
CSA
45%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 1
VIL
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 0
CSA
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 1
NAU
51%
27%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 1
NAU
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
4 - 0
LON
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
REM
0 - 1
BOT
24%
29%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
COT
0 - 1
BOT
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 2
VIL
64%
23%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |