CSA vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
40.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
CSA
2 - 3
CRB
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CRB
1 - 0
CSA
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ASA
1 - 2
CSA
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
CSA
1 - 1
ASA
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CSA
2 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ASA
3 - 0
MUR
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 3
ASA
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ASA
1 - 2
CSA
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
CSA
1 - 1
ASA
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ASA
2 - 1
MUR
64%
22%
15%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |