CSA vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CSA
2 - 0
MUR
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VOL
4 - 0
CSA
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
CSA
0 - 0
VOL
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
CSA
49%
28%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 0
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ARN
0 - 1
ABC
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
20%
25%
56%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 0
GLO
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
GUA
6 - 0
ABC
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
ABC
4 - 0
GUA
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |