CSA vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CSA
3 - 1
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
CSA
1 - 2
AAL
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 24 | 44 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CRB
3 - 1
CSA
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
CSA
4 - 0
MUR
86%
11%
3%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 0
CSA
12%
20%
68%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
COR
14%
17%
68%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CSE
0 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
AAL
0 - 5
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
MUR
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CRB
2 - 1
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
16 | 69 | 53 | 0 |