Universitatea Craiova vs UTA Arad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
11º
5º
30
8º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 52 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 52 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 50 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 49 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 44 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 43 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 37 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 35 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 35 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 30 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 24 |
16º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
96% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
CSU
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
STG
2 - 1
CSU
64%
19%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
LUD
4 - 1
CSU
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 0
WAR
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 1
UCL
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UTA Arad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 1
RAP
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
VOI
1 - 7
UTA
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 3
SAR
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 2
BBL
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DBU
2 - 0
UTA
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |