CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
CS Sfaxien vs Horoya AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Sfaxien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 1
CSS
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
USM
2 - 2
CSS
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
CSS
2 - 0
EGS
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CSS
2 - 0
DED
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
DED
1 - 2
CSS
29%
23%
48%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Horoya AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 1
CSS
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
SEQ
1 - 2
HOR
44%
29%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
RCA
1 - 0
HOR
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 0
RCA
34%
27%
40%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 0
HOR
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |