CS Sfaxien vs Etoile Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
9º
9º
33
5º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 59 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 54 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 27 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 22 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Sfaxien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CAB
1 - 1
CSS
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CSS
4 - 0
ONZ
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CON
3 - 0
CSS
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
CSS
0 - 1
SIM
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
CSS
0 - 1
ESP
26%
31%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
OLY
0 - 2
ETO
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ETO
2 - 2
CLU
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 1
ETO
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 0
JSO
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 3
ETO
44%
29%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |