Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-4
CD San Fernando vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
SFE
1 - 0
DBN
86%
11%
3%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1977 |
SFE
1 - 0
OSA
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
MON
1 - 1
SFE
25%
23%
53%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
OSA
0 - 0
SFE
89%
8%
4%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
SFE
3 - 2
ARC
86%
11%
3%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
VCF
0 - 1
RSO
66%
20%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1977 |
MIR
2 - 4
VCF
23%
24%
52%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
VCF
3 - 1
ATH
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
VCF
2 - 0
MIR
87%
9%
4%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
RAY
3 - 0
VCF
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |