CD San Fernando vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
POR
0 - 2
SFE
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
SFE
2 - 2
G74
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ROQ
3 - 0
SFE
59%
22%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SFE
0 - 1
GUA
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 1
SFE
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
UBC
2 - 1
ECI
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
UBC
1 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
G74
2 - 1
UBC
26%
26%
49%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
UBC
3 - 3
ROQ
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
UBC
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |