CD San Fernando vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
PUE
4 - 1
SFE
37%
23%
40%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
SFE
0 - 3
GRA
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
CAD
2 - 3
SFE
58%
19%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
SFE
4 - 1
VAL
68%
17%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
ALI
3 - 1
SFE
57%
19%
24%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
SDC
2 - 2
LEV
65%
18%
17%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
HER
4 - 0
SDC
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
SDC
2 - 0
MUR
38%
25%
36%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
MAL
3 - 0
SDC
82%
12%
7%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
SDC
4 - 0
EXT
60%
20%
20%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +2 |