CD San Fernando vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
CAD
2 - 0
SFE
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
CFC
1 - 2
SFE
63%
19%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
SFE
2 - 0
HER
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
LEV
1 - 2
SFE
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
SFE
2 - 1
MAL
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
HER
1 - 0
RJA
67%
18%
14%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
HER
2 - 0
CEU
67%
19%
15%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
SFE
2 - 0
HER
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
HER
9 - 0
VIL
85%
10%
6%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
RJA
2 - 1
HER
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |