Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-4
CD San Fernando vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
38.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
ELC
4 - 2
SFE
81%
12%
8%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1960 |
SFE
2 - 1
RAC
45%
23%
32%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
SFE
1 - 0
CCF
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1960 |
SFE
1 - 1
RAC
42%
23%
34%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
MLL
2 - 1
SFE
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
ELC
4 - 2
SFE
81%
12%
8%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
SEV
4 - 1
ELC
76%
14%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
ELC
3 - 4
ATM
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
OSA
1 - 3
ELC
68%
17%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
UDL
1 - 1
ELC
56%
21%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |