CD San Fernando vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
59.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2008 |
CRD
3 - 2
SFE
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
SFE
0 - 1
POZ
61%
23%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
SOL
3 - 0
SFE
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
SFE
2 - 1
CAD
65%
21%
15%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
XRZ
0 - 2
SFE
14%
23%
63%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
NUM
2 - 2
POL
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
POL
0 - 0
ALB
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
XER
1 - 0
POL
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
POL
2 - 0
ELC
39%
29%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
UDL
2 - 1
POL
54%
26%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |