CD San Fernando vs CD Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 1
SFE
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SFE
0 - 1
RJA
25%
28%
47%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
POL
0 - 0
SFE
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
SFE
2 - 1
MAR
33%
29%
39%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAD
6 - 2
SFE
81%
14%
5%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
UBC
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
GUA
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
G74
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
GUA
54%
27%
19%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ROQ
1 - 0
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |