CD San Fernando vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
12.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1956 |
CDC
3 - 0
SFE
72%
15%
13%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
SFE
2 - 2
MAL
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
UDE
2 - 0
SFE
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
SFE
4 - 2
GRA
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
EXT
3 - 1
SFE
73%
15%
13%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
PUL
5 - 0
CAT
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1956 |
VAL
1 - 1
PUL
75%
14%
11%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
PUL
2 - 2
CDB
62%
19%
19%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
BET
4 - 0
PUL
76%
14%
10%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
PUL
5 - 3
CAD
69%
16%
14%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |