CS Moulien vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
71.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Moulien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CSM
2 - 0
SSC
63%
19%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ASG
1 - 0
CSM
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
CSM
3 - 1
CBM
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CSM
3 - 2
CMB
83%
11%
6%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ASD
2 - 1
CSM
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FLE
0 - 1
BOB
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AUX
0 - 0
FLE
22%
25%
54%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UST
0 - 1
FLE
8%
14%
78%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FLE
1 - 0
BRC
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FLE
2 - 1
LUS
56%
25%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |