Minaur Baia Mare vs CSM Satu Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
2º
2º
9
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
12 | 39 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
|
1º
|
12 | 36 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 33 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 33 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 32 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 30 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 24 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 12 |
8º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 9 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 9 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
80% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 40.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minaur Baia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
SNT
3 - 2
MBM
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MBM
3 - 0
ACV
84%
11%
6%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MBM
3 - 2
OSM
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 1
MBM
40%
25%
36%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MBM
5 - 0
VII
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
CSM Satu Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
VII
0 - 5
CSM
12%
17%
72%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CSM
2 - 1
DIO
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 2
CSM
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 2
ZAL
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
CSM
0 - 4
ZAL
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |