Sportivo Desamparados vs Unión Villa Krause analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
DES
2 - 0
GUT
29%
28%
44%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
MAI
1 - 1
DES
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DES
0 - 0
GIM
21%
28%
52%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 1
DES
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
DES
2 - 0
AGR
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
Unión Villa Krause
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GIM
3 - 0
UNI
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 0
GUT
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MAI
1 - 1
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 1
DES
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
JAN
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |