Sportivo Desamparados vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
DES
55%
26%
19%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
DES
0 - 0
CIP
32%
28%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
MAI
3 - 0
DES
62%
24%
15%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
DES
0 - 1
VIL
32%
28%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
DCM
1 - 0
DES
27%
30%
43%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SPE
5 - 0
SDM
23%
27%
50%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPE
73%
18%
8%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SPE
1 - 2
HHE
20%
27%
53%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 1
SPE
80%
15%
5%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SPE
0 - 0
DEP
10%
20%
70%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |