Sportivo Desamparados vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 0
DES
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
DES
1 - 4
INS
19%
26%
54%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
DES
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
DES
0 - 1
GLP
23%
29%
48%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DYJ
2 - 0
DES
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GBR
5 - 2
CHA
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 0
GBR
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 3
CEN
33%
28%
40%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ATT
2 - 1
GBR
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 2
ALD
41%
26%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |