Torneo Regional Federal Amateur Final
Global 2-1
Sportivo Desamparados vs Argentino Agropecuario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 0
DES
54%
25%
21%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
DES
1 - 0
HHE
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
HHE
2 - 1
DES
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
DES
2 - 0
BHU
58%
24%
19%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BHU
0 - 0
DES
42%
28%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Argentino Agropecuario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 0
DES
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 0
BVI
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
BVI
1 - 1
AGR
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 0
IND
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
AGR
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |