CS Constantine vs USM Bel Abbès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
12.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Constantine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BEJ
0 - 0
CON
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
CHL
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
ORA
1 - 1
CON
45%
28%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
USM
36%
30%
34%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2012 |
CON
5 - 1
USM
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
USM
0 - 0
BEL
22%
29%
48%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
USM
1 - 0
ORA
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
BEJ
1 - 3
USM
79%
16%
6%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
USM
0 - 1
CHL
20%
27%
53%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2012 |
CON
5 - 1
USM
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |