CS Constantine vs ES Mostaganem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
1º
7º
1º
0
11º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
7º
|
0 | 50 |
1º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 50 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 49 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 49 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 49 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 47 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 47 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 44 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 43 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 35 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 34 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
|
8º
|
0 | 34 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 32 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 31 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
20% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
27% | 3.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
12% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
60% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Constantine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
CON
1 - 2
SET
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 1
CON
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
ORA
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
USM
58%
25%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
USB
0 - 1
CON
25%
28%
47%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
ES Mostaganem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GCM
1 - 2
ESM
13%
23%
63%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
ESM
4 - 0
ASM
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ARB
1 - 2
ESM
32%
26%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ESM
4 - 1
CRM
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KOU
0 - 0
ESM
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |