Crystal Palace U21 vs Aston Villa U21 analysis

Crystal Palace U21 Aston Villa U21
50 ELO 45
11.9% Tilt 6.7%
3832º General ELO ranking 5370º
127º Country ELO ranking 212º
ELO win probability
54%
Crystal Palace U21
21.1%
Draw
24.9%
Aston Villa U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
Crystal Palace U21
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.9%
Win probability
Aston Villa U21
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crystal Palace U21
+24%
+8%
Aston Villa U21

Points and table prediction

Crystal Palace U21
Their league position
Aston Villa U21
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
24º
25
14º
25º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tottenham Hotspur U21
46
46
100%
West Ham U21
42
42
100%
Fulham U21
38
38
100%
Chelsea U21
36
36
0%
Arsenal U21
36
36
0%
Reading U21
35
35
100%
Sunderland U21
34
34
100%
Liverpool  U21
33
33
100%
Crystal Palace U21
31
31
0%
Wolves U21
10º
31
31
10º
0%
Middlesbrough U21
11º
31
31
11º
0%
Man. Utd U21
12º
29
29
12º
0%
Brighton & Hove U21
13º
29
29
13º
0%
Nottingham Forest U21
14º
28
28
14º
100%
Blackburn Rovers U21
15º
27
27
15º
100%
Aston Villa U21
16º
25
25
16º
100%
Southampton U21
17º
24
24
17º
100%
Norwich City U21
18º
23
23
18º
100%
Stoke City U21
19º
23
23
19º
100%
Leicester U21
20º
20
20
20º
100%
West Bromwich U21
21º
19
19
21º
100%
Newcastle U21
22º
19
19
22º
100%
Man. City U21
23º
18
18
23º
100%
Leeds United U21
24º
18
18
24º
100%
Everton U21
25º
17
17
25º
100%
Derby County U21
26º
16
16
26º
100%
Expected probabilities
Crystal Palace U21
Aston Villa U21
Final Series
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Crystal Palace U21
Aston Villa U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crystal Palace U21
Crystal Palace U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2024
STC
Stoke City U21
1 - 3
Crystal Palace U21
CRY
33%
24%
43%
49 43 6 0
19 Feb. 2024
LEI
Leicester U21
1 - 1
Crystal Palace U21
CRY
25%
23%
52%
50 38 12 -1
26 Jan. 2024
CRY
Crystal Palace U21
2 - 1
Brighton & Hove U21
BHA
35%
24%
42%
49 56 7 +1
14 Jan. 2024
BRO
Blackburn Rovers U21
3 - 3
Crystal Palace U21
CRY
32%
23%
45%
49 39 10 0
18 Dec. 2023
CRY
Crystal Palace U21
1 - 5
West Ham U21
WHU
33%
24%
43%
50 58 8 -1

Matches

Aston Villa U21
Aston Villa U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2024
LIV
Liverpool  U21
0 - 2
Aston Villa U21
AVI
54%
23%
23%
44 54 10 0
23 Feb. 2024
AVI
Aston Villa U21
2 - 2
Stoke City U21
STC
51%
23%
26%
44 43 1 0
16 Feb. 2024
AVI
Aston Villa U21
4 - 0
Middlesbrough U21
MID
48%
23%
29%
43 42 1 +1
09 Feb. 2024
AVI
Aston Villa U21
2 - 1
Everton U21
EVE
43%
24%
34%
42 45 3 +1
27 Jan. 2024
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur U21
5 - 3
Aston Villa U21
AVI
59%
22%
19%
43 55 12 -1