Crystal Palace vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
53.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LEE
3 - 2
CRY
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CRY
1 - 1
BPO
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
CRY
2 - 0
CRA
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HUL
0 - 1
CRY
54%
25%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
CRY
2 - 1
COV
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 0
WIG
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
WIG
2 - 0
QPR
59%
25%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SWA
0 - 0
WIG
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
WIG
1 - 1
NOR
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
WIG
1 - 0
VIL
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |