Crystal Palace vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SWA
1 - 1
CRY
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
CRY
1 - 2
BOU
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CRY
1 - 0
STO
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CRY
1 - 3
TOT
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MAC
4 - 0
CRY
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
TOT
1 - 0
WAT
66%
20%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
WAT
0 - 0
CHL
15%
22%
62%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NTT
0 - 1
WAT
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
WAT
2 - 1
NEW
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
SWA
1 - 0
WAT
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |