Crystal Palace vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2013 |
BHA
0 - 2
CRY
57%
24%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
CRY
0 - 0
BHA
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CRY
3 - 2
POS
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 0
CRY
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BBU
1 - 1
CRY
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
WAT
3 - 1
LEI
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
LEI
1 - 0
WAT
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
WAT
1 - 2
LEE
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
LEI
1 - 2
WAT
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
WAT
4 - 0
BBU
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |