EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-2
Crystal Palace vs Torquay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
CRY
2 - 0
OXF
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
BIR
3 - 1
CRY
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
GUL
1 - 1
CRY
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
CRY
2 - 2
BOL
34%
26%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1998 |
SAM
2 - 0
CRY
53%
23%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
GUL
1 - 0
EXE
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
ROC
0 - 2
GUL
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
GUL
1 - 1
CRY
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
GUL
0 - 1
CAM
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
LEY
2 - 1
GUL
51%
26%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |