Crystal Palace vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
BAR
2 - 3
CRY
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
COL
2 - 2
CRY
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
CRY
1 - 1
CRE
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
QPR
6 - 0
CRY
38%
28%
35%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -3 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
CRY
2 - 2
HUR
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
SWI
1 - 4
IPS
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
SWI
0 - 1
LEY
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
WAL
0 - 0
SWI
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
SWI
1 - 3
BAR
40%
27%
34%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWI
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |