Crystal Palace vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
MAC
0 - 0
CRY
77%
16%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1979 |
CRY
2 - 0
BUR
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
LEY
0 - 1
CRY
45%
30%
26%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
CRY
2 - 0
NOT
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1979 |
LEI
1 - 1
CRY
54%
26%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
SOU
1 - 1
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1979 |
WBA
1 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
LIV
2 - 0
SOU
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
NTT
1 - 0
SOU
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1979 |
SOU
1 - 1
MUD
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |