Crystal Palace vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BIR
2 - 1
CRY
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
CRY
1 - 0
LEE
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
CRY
3 - 1
SOU
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
IPS
1 - 2
CRY
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2006 |
WAT
0 - 0
CRY
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ROC
0 - 1
NOT
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 0
WYC
39%
28%
34%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 1
STF
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
LIN
1 - 1
NOT
59%
24%
18%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
NOT
2 - 2
BCF
46%
27%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |