Crystal Palace vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
CRY
2 - 0
LEI
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
WAT
1 - 2
CRY
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2005 |
CRY
2 - 0
DER
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
IPS
0 - 2
CRY
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
PLY
2 - 0
CRY
21%
24%
55%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 1
NOR
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
NOR
0 - 1
POS
61%
23%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 0
MAN
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 0
STF
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2005 |
NOR
2 - 0
STE
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |